In recent years, a noticeable shift has emerged on the political stage as countries worldwide veer from libertarian and left-leaning ideologies towards more conservative frameworks. This global trend can be seen in Europe, North America, and beyond, where political forces once rooted in progressive, libertarian, or social-liberal ideologies are increasingly displaced by right-leaning, often nationalist movements. This shift reflects complex reactions to economic, cultural, and geopolitical forces—spanning economic insecurity, debates around immigration, skepticism towards supranational governance, and a reassessment of national sovereignty.

In the case of Georgia, a recent election underscored this movement when the incumbent conservative government retained power, even amidst substantial investments by international actors attempting to shift the nation towards a pro-European Union, left-leaning stance. Meanwhile, in the United States, the upcoming 2024 presidential election reveals a nation profoundly divided. The heightened political stakes are underscored by two recent assassination attempts on a conservative leader, illustrating the polarized atmosphere enveloping American politics.

The Political Landscape in Georgia – A Conservative Stronghold Resists Change

Background on Georgian Political Dynamics

Georgia, a nation positioned at the crossroads between Europe and Asia, has historically leaned towards a conservative ideology aligned with preserving traditional values and balancing relations between Russia and the West. However, as Georgia works toward integration with the European Union, a significant portion of the population—especially the younger generation—advocates for EU membership and left-leaning policies.

The Election Outcome: Conservative Retention Against Pro-EU Influence

In the recent parliamentary elections, the ruling Georgian Dream party, a conservative coalition with nuanced positions on EU alignment, managed to retain power. This was despite substantial financial and political backing from international pro-EU groups aimed at establishing a left-leaning, pro-European administration. Voter turnout was high, reflecting strong civic engagement, but ultimately, many Georgians sided with incumbents who advocated for a more traditional, nationalist approach to governance.

Why Did the Shift to the Left Fail?

Several factors contributed to the failure of pro-EU, left-leaning forces in Georgia:

  • Economic Concerns: The Georgian Dream party capitalized on economic uncertainties and promised stability.
  • National Sovereignty: Many Georgians felt uncomfortable with the perceived loss of sovereignty associated with EU integration.
  • Cultural Values: Georgian society remains socially conservative, with an emphasis on traditional values that clashed with left-leaning agendas.

Implications for Georgia’s Future

The conservative victory in Georgia highlights a recurring theme in many countries where voters are increasingly wary of transnational entities and prefer national-oriented policies. This outcome suggests that future political efforts to swing Georgia towards a pro-EU stance may face similar challenges unless they address the deeper economic and cultural concerns of Georgian voters.

The Upcoming U.S. Election – Polarization and Threats of Violence

The Landscape of U.S. Politics in 2024

As the United States approaches its 2024 presidential election, the political atmosphere is marked by intense polarization and social division. Unlike prior elections, this one has seen conservative figures facing unprecedented levels of hostility, with assassination attempts further escalating the stakes. This divisive atmosphere has raised concerns regarding the state of American democracy and its susceptibility to violent disruption.

Why Is the U.S. Electorate So Divided?

Several factors contribute to the current polarization in U.S. politics:

  • Economic Insecurity: The COVID-19 pandemic, inflation, and job market fluctuations have left many Americans feeling economically vulnerable, fueling populist sentiments on both sides.
  • Identity Politics: Issues surrounding immigration, gender, race, and national identity have become highly divisive.
  • Media Influence and Misinformation: With social media amplifying polarized views, misinformation spreads rapidly, further dividing public opinion.

Potential Outcomes and Their Risks

The upcoming election carries significant implications for America’s political future. A strong conservative victory could lead to substantial policy shifts on issues like immigration, environmental regulation, and foreign policy. However, an excessively conservative administration may exacerbate social divides, leading to an environment where dissent is suppressed, and democratic values are tested.

Analysis of the Global Conservative Shift

Economic Factors

Economic instability often drives voters toward conservative candidates who promise stability and growth through traditional policies, such as tax cuts and deregulation. Countries facing high inflation, rising living costs, or unemployment, are seeing voters prefer economic conservatism.

Cultural and Identity-Based Politics

In many parts of the world, conservatives have successfully mobilized support by appealing to national identity, cultural heritage, and religious values. For instance, immigration policies have become a focal point in elections across Europe, where leaders campaign on promises of tighter border controls and preservation of national culture.

Geopolitical Tensions

With global tensions rising, many citizens support conservative leaders who advocate for stronger national defence and assertive foreign policies. Conservative leaders in countries such as Italy, Finland, and the United States have garnered support by emphasizing security and skepticism towards transnational governance.

Risks and Dangers of Moving Too Far Right

Suppression of Dissent

An increasingly right-wing government may risk suppressing opposing voices, curtailing freedoms under the guise of national security. This erosion of democratic principles is already visible in countries with conservative regimes, where independent media and opposition parties face restrictions.

Economic Inequality

Historically, far-right economic policies have sometimes exacerbated wealth gaps, focusing primarily on deregulation and tax cuts that benefit the upper class. Without counterbalancing measures, this can lead to increased inequality and social discontent.

International Relations and Isolation

A strong conservative stance may strain relations with international bodies like the European Union or the United Nations, particularly as countries reject collaborative frameworks. While this may appeal domestically, it risks isolating nations, potentially impacting trade, diplomacy, and global cooperation.

Conclusion: The Future of Global Politics in a Shifting World

The global trend towards conservatism reflects a mix of economic fears, identity politics, and geopolitical tensions. However, as countries navigate these shifts, the importance of balance cannot be overstated. While conservatism offers stability and national pride, the risks of exclusion, suppression, and inequality must be carefully managed. For democracies to thrive, leaders on both sides of the political spectrum need to foster inclusive policies that address citizens’ needs without sacrificing fundamental freedoms or straining international relations.

The cases of Georgia and the U.S. demonstrate the profound impact of conservative ideologies on modern politics. Moving forward, leaders and citizens alike will need to navigate these changes carefully, ensuring that progress and tradition can coexist without threatening the foundational principles of democratic societies.